What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of August 3 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether Tesla's stock price will touch specific levels during a single trading week in August 2026. There are three price targets: $330 (the market thinks this is quite likely, at 72%), $337.50 (less likely, at 42%), and $307.50 on the downside (28%). Each is its own separate yes-or-no question about whether Tesla's stock will reach that exact price at any moment during regular trading hours that week. Each price target resolves Yes if Tesla's stock touches that level, even briefly, during any single minute of regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) between August 3 and August 7, 2026. The data source is Pyth, a real-time price feed using 1-minute candles. Importantly, pre-market and after-hours price moves do not count, even if Tesla spikes far above or below the target outside those hours. If Tesla does a stock split before then, the target prices are adjusted proportionally. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching between now and August 2026 include Tesla earnings reports, new vehicle announcements, changes in Elon Musk's other roles or public profile, broader electric vehicle industry news, and overall stock market conditions, any of which could move Tesla's price significantly. Tesla is one of the most volatile large stocks in the world, which makes a single week's price range genuinely hard to call. The market is still over a year away, so a lot can change: company results, competitor moves, macroeconomic shifts, or news around Elon Musk. The three targets are spread across a range, suggesting real disagreement about where the stock will be. A 72% implied chance on $330 means the market sees it as probable but not certain, and Tesla has a history of surprising in both directions.

The odds right now

• ↑ $33077%
• ↑ $337.5037%
• ↓ $307.5031%
• ↑ $34516%
• ↓ $30016%
• ↑ $36014%
• ↓ $2859%
• ↓ $277.507%
• ↑ $352.507%
• ↓ $292.507%
• ↓ $262.505%
• ↓ $2703%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 7, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of August 3 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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