XRP above ___ on August 6?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether XRP, a popular cryptocurrency, will be trading above a specific price ($0.70, $0.80, or $0.90 depending on which version you are looking at) on a single moment in time: noon Eastern Time on August 6, 2026. A Yes means XRP's price is above that threshold at that exact moment. A No means it is at or below it. There is no daily average or weekly trend involved, just one price check at one specific minute. The market settles based on one specific data point: the closing price of the 1-minute trading candle for XRP against the US dollar (USDT) on Binance at exactly noon Eastern Time on August 6, 2026. If that single closing price is strictly higher than the target ($0.70, $0.80, or $0.90), it resolves Yes. If it is equal to or below the target, it resolves No. Only Binance's XRP/USDT pair is used, not any other exchange or currency pairing. No specific recent news was provided for this market. In general, things worth watching for XRP would include major regulatory decisions (particularly in the United States), broader cryptocurrency market trends, and any significant announcements from Ripple, the company closely associated with XRP. XRP sits at roughly $2+ as of early 2025, so the market currently prices all three thresholds ($0.70, $0.80, $0.90) at 98 to 99%. This reflects that XRP is already well above these levels. The main uncertainty is not a close two-sided debate but simply whether something extreme and unexpected, like a severe crypto market crash or a major regulatory shock, could push XRP below those thresholds before August 2026. That kind of tail risk is real but the market currently considers it very unlikely.

The odds right now

• 0.60100%
• 0.7099%
• 0.8098%
• 0.9098%
• 1.0095%
• 1.1024%
• 1.204%
• 1.302%
• 1.402%
• 1.501%
• 1.600%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 6, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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