XRP above ___ on August 5?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether XRP, a cryptocurrency, will be trading above a specific price threshold on a specific date next year. There are three separate versions here, each with a different price target: $0.80, $0.90, and $1.00. A Yes result means XRP's price is above that threshold at noon on August 5, 2026. A No result means it is at or below that price at that exact moment. Right now the market prices all three outcomes as very likely to resolve Yes, above 97%. Settlement is determined by one single data point: the closing price of the 1-minute trading candle for XRP/USDT on Binance at exactly 12:00 noon Eastern Time on August 5, 2026. Only Binance is used, not any other exchange or app. If the price at that precise minute is above the target, it resolves Yes. If it is exactly at the target, or below it, it resolves No. No averages, no daily highs or lows, just that one minute's closing price. No specific recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching would be major shifts in crypto regulation, large institutional moves into or out of XRP, court rulings involving Ripple (the company behind XRP), or broad cryptocurrency market swings that push prices significantly up or down. The market prices all three thresholds above 97%, meaning participants currently see it as very likely XRP will be above $1.00 by August 2026. The main honest uncertainty here is not a close debate between two sides, it is simply whether something unexpected disrupts that picture. Crypto prices can move dramatically in either direction over a year-long period. A major market crash, a regulatory shock, or an exchange-specific event on Binance could all change the outcome.

The odds right now

• 0.80100%
• 0.70100%
• 0.6099%
• 0.9099%
• 1.0097%
• 1.1018%
• 1.202%
• 1.302%
• 1.401%
• 1.501%
• 1.600%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 5, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.