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El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Resolves Mar 1, 2027·$664 24h vol·politics
$664 total volume

ARENA

39%+14.0%
OutcomeYesNo
ARENA
PCN
Nuevas Ideas (NI)
GANA
Vamos
Salvadoran Democracy (DS)
PDC
Solidary Force (FS)
FMLN
PAIS

Order Book

ARENA

PriceSharesTotal
93.0¢14$13
92.0¢6$5
89.0¢9$8
84.0¢6$5
83.0¢7$6
67.0¢20$13
65.0¢63$41
64.0¢5$3
32.0¢last trade
49.0¢ spread
15.0¢29$4
14.0¢21$3
10.0¢250$25
6.0¢300$18
4.0¢250$10
3.0¢423$13
2.0¢625$13
1.0¢1.4k$14
$99 bids$95 asks

Resolution Criteria

Legislative elections to elect the 60 members of the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador are scheduled to take place on February 28, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by February 29, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. Notwithstanding the above, if candidates from two or more parties run on the same list, each seat won by that list will be counted toward the party to which the elected candidate belongs. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Supreme Electoral Tribunal of El Salvador (https://www.tse.gob.sv/).

ARENA

29%