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How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in November?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in November?

Resolves Dec 1, 2026·$755 24h vol·economy
$755 total volume

5.06%

60%-3.0%
OutcomeYesNo
5.06%
5.13%
5.09%
5.17%
5.21%
5.25%
5.29%
5.33%
5.38%

Order Book

5.06%

PriceSharesTotal
71.0¢250$178
70.0¢250$175
69.0¢250$173
67.0¢100$67
66.0¢100$66
65.0¢120$78
64.0¢50$32
63.0¢30$19
48.0¢last trade
16.0¢ spread
47.0¢50$24
5.0¢5$0
4.0¢8$0
3.0¢300$9
1.0¢62$1
$34 bids$787 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of November 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of November 2026 by December 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

5.06%

60%