← Markets
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026·$1.4k 24h vol·economy
$1.4k total volume·Open for 4 days

4.58%

78%+28.0%
OutcomeYesNo
4.58%
4.61%
4.64%
4.67%
4.70%
4.73%
4.78%
4.83%
4.90%

Order Book

4.58%

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢8$8
98.0¢134$131
97.0¢13$13
81.0¢60$49
80.0¢184$147
79.0¢560$442
78.0¢1.5k$1.2k
no trades yet
1.0¢ spread
77.0¢1.5k$1.2k
76.0¢752$572
75.0¢243$182
32.0¢10$3
26.0¢40$10
6.0¢10$1
3.0¢13$0
2.0¢28$1
$1.9k bids$2.0k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

4.58%

78%