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How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026·$3.8k 24h vol·economy
$3.8k total volume·Open for 4 days

Below 4.76%

74%+24.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Below 4.76%
Below 4.73%
Below 4.70%
Below 4.67%
Below 4.64%
Below 4.61%
Below 4.56%
Below 4.51%
Below 4.45%

Order Book

Below 4.76%

PriceSharesTotal
98.0¢136$134
96.0¢10$10
95.0¢6$6
94.0¢10$9
81.0¢19$15
76.0¢161$123
75.0¢967$725
74.0¢606$448
74.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
73.0¢1.0k$752
72.0¢1.6k$1.2k
71.0¢2.0k$1.4k
70.0¢40$28
69.0¢485$335
67.0¢530$355
66.0¢625$413
26.0¢40$10
$4.5k bids$1.5k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

Below 4.76%

74%