← Markets
Next Kimi K model released by…?

Next Kimi K model released by…?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$111 24h vol·tech
$12.6k total volume·Open for 45 days

December 31, 2026

99%+4.7%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31, 2026
September 30, 2026
September 15, 2026

Order Book

December 31, 2026

PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢3.2k$3.2k
99.8¢476$475
99.7¢100$100
99.2¢113$112
99.1¢10$10
98.5¢last trade
1.1¢ spread
98.0¢155$152
96.7¢40$39
96.6¢102$99
96.4¢280$270
90.1¢200$180
81.4¢10$8
81.3¢10$8
81.0¢5$4
$759 bids$3.9k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify. Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

December 31, 2026

99%