Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of July?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Amazon's stock price will be above a specific dollar amount when the market closes on the last trading day of July 2026. There are three separate price thresholds here: $190, $170, and $200. Each one is its own Yes or No question. For example, 'Will AMZN close above $200?' means: on that final July trading day, is Amazon's share price higher than $200? If yes, it resolves Yes. If Amazon closes at exactly $200 or below, it resolves No. The answer is decided by Amazon's official closing price on the last trading day of July 2026, pulled from Yahoo Finance's historical prices page. If that day is a shortened session due to a holiday, the closing price from that shorter day still counts. If no closing price is published at all, the last valid trade of the regular session is used instead. If Amazon does a stock split before then, the prices are adjusted automatically so the split does not create a false result. The two news items provided are not relevant to Amazon's stock price. One is about a political group in Bangladesh, and the other is about South Korean tech partnerships in semiconductors and AI. That second story is broadly related to the tech sector, but does not directly concern Amazon. To track this market meaningfully, you would want to watch Amazon's earnings reports, AWS cloud growth news, and broader US stock market conditions. The $170 threshold sits at 96% and $190 at 99%, meaning the market sees these as very likely but not certain. The main uncertainty at those levels is simply whether something unexpected happens: a sharp market crash, a major company scandal, or a sudden economic shock. The $200 level at 91% carries a bit more genuine two-sidedness, since Amazon would need to climb from wherever it trades today. Over a year, a lot can change in the economy, interest rates, or Amazon's own business.

The odds right now

• $190+48.6 pts (1w)99%
• $170+0.2 pts (1w)96%
• $200+40.6 pts (1w)91%
• $180+38.9 pts (1w)90%
• $210+35.4 pts (1w)85%
• $220-8.5 pts (1w)74%
• $230+9.0 pts (1w)59%
• $240-8.0 pts (1w)43%
• $250-34.0 pts (1w)18%
• $260-38.0 pts (1w)14%
• $270-48.0 pts (1w)7%
• $290+0.9 pts (1w)5%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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