CZ # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how many times will CZ post on X (formerly Twitter) during one specific week? CZ is Changpeng Zhao, the founder of Binance, one of the world's largest crypto exchanges. A 'Yes' for the top bracket means he posts between 20 and 39 times that week, which works out to roughly 3 to 5 posts per day. Under 20 means he goes quieter than that, and 40 or more means he is posting very actively, closer to 6 or more times a day. The market settles based on a specific post-counting tool at xtracker.polymarket.com, which tracks CZ's account from August 4 at 12:00 PM Eastern Time to August 11 at 12:00 PM Eastern Time, exactly seven days. Only original posts, reposts, and quote posts count. Replies are excluded unless they somehow appear on his main feed. One edge case worth knowing: even deleted posts count, as long as the tracker captures them within about five minutes of posting. The only recent headline provided is about a Supreme Court sentencing ruling, which has no visible connection to CZ or his posting activity. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development that would matter is anything that puts CZ in the public spotlight, such as a major crypto market move, a regulatory update involving Binance, or a personal announcement from him. CZ's weekly posting volume can shift a lot based on what is happening in his life and in crypto markets. A quiet week with no big news could mean fewer posts, while a controversy or major industry event could push him to post much more. There is also no fixed schedule or obligation for him to post at any particular rate. The market currently leans toward the 20 to 39 range, but the 34% chance on under 20 shows real uncertainty, and his habits in any given week are genuinely hard to forecast.

The odds right now

• 20-3957%
• <2034%
• 40-595%
• 120-1391%
• 60-791%
• 80-991%
• 100-1191%
• 140-1591%
• 160-1791%
• 180-1991%
• 200+1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 11, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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