Ethereum price on July 26?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks a simple question: what price range will Ethereum (ETH) land in on July 26, 2026? The three options are like buckets: between $1,700 and $1,800, between $1,800 and $1,900, or between $1,900 and $2,000. You are not betting on whether ETH goes up or down in general; you are picking which specific price band it falls into at one precise moment in time, noon Eastern Time on that date. The market settles based on one single data point: the closing price of the ETH/USDT trading pair on the Binance exchange at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 26, 2026, measured on the one-minute chart. Whichever price bucket that number falls into wins. If ETH lands exactly on a boundary between two buckets, the higher bucket wins. Prices from other exchanges do not count, only Binance ETH/USDT. None of the recent headlines provided relate to Ethereum or crypto markets in any meaningful way. The news listed covers a UK stock listing, a Swiss bank share placement, fuel pricing, and an Indian tech company. To follow this market, the kinds of developments worth watching would be major Ethereum network upgrades, broad crypto market swings, or large macroeconomic events that tend to move risk assets. Predicting a precise crypto price range over a year away is genuinely very hard. Ethereum can move hundreds of dollars in a single day during volatile periods, so even a strong view on direction does not help much with picking a narrow $100 bracket. The market currently places the highest weight on the $1,800 to $1,900 range at 55%, but crypto prices at this time horizon are shaped by unpredictable forces: regulatory decisions, macro shifts, and broader market sentiment, none of which anyone can reliably foresee.

The odds right now

• 1,800-1,90049%
• 1,900-2,00042%
• 1,700-1,8008%
• 1,600-1,7006%
• 2,100-2,2005%
• 1,500-1,6005%
• 2,000-2,1003%
• 1,400-1,5001%
• <1,4000%
• >2,3000%
• 2,200-2,3000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 26, 2026

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.