Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking how valuable Ink's crypto token will be, in total, on the day after it first becomes available to the public. 'Fully Diluted Valuation' (FDV) means: take the token's price and multiply it by every token that will ever exist, even ones not yet in circulation. Think of it like the total theoretical price tag on the whole project. There are three separate Yes/No questions here, each with a different size threshold: $100 million, $250 million, and $500 million. Each version of this market settles based on Ink's FDV at 4:00 PM Eastern Time on the calendar day after the token officially launches. 'Launch' means the token is publicly tradable, not just announced. The price used will be taken from whichever exchange has the most trading activity at that moment. One important edge case: if Ink never launches a token before December 31, 2026, all three markets automatically settle as No, no matter how promising the project looks. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching for would be: an official announcement of a launch date from the Ink team, any token sale details, or broader crypto market conditions that could affect how new token launches are received by investors. New token valuations on launch day are genuinely hard to predict because they depend on market excitement, timing, and conditions that can shift fast. The three thresholds tell a story: the market currently gives Ink roughly a coin-flip chance of hitting $100M, but only a 28% chance of reaching $500M. The biggest wild card is whether Ink launches at all before the deadline. Beyond that, crypto markets can swing dramatically in the first 24 hours, making even a reasonable estimate very uncertain.

The odds right now

• $100M-9.0 pts (1w)49%
• $250M-17.0 pts (1w)39%
• $500M -2.0 pts (1w)28%
• $1B-2.5 pts (1w)16%
• $2B-0.5 pts (1w)10%
• $3B+0.1 pts (1w)8%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves January 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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