Will Micron (MU) close above ___ end of July?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether Micron Technology's stock will be trading above a specific price target when July 2026 ends. Micron (ticker: MU) makes computer memory chips, the kind used in phones, laptops, and data centers. There are three separate versions of this market, each with a different price target: $1,100, $1,120, and $1,140. A Yes means Micron's stock closed at or above that number on the last trading day of July 2026. A No means it fell short. The market settles based on Micron's official closing price on the last trading day of July 2026, using Yahoo Finance's historical price data as the source of record. If that day is a shortened session due to a holiday, the closing price from that shorter session still counts. If no official closing price exists because of a trading halt or technical problem, the last valid trade price from that session is used instead. If Micron does a stock split before then, the price targets are adjusted accordingly. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching for would be Micron's quarterly earnings reports, any major announcements about demand for AI or data center memory chips, shifts in global chip supply, and broader moves in U.S. technology stocks. Micron's stock price is genuinely difficult to forecast over more than a year. Chip stocks can swing sharply based on earnings surprises, changes in memory chip demand from AI and cloud companies, trade policy between the U.S. and China, and general market sentiment. The three price targets here range across a band, and the market currently prices each one between 20% and 31%, meaning the crowd sees real uncertainty at every level. A lot can change in over a year of trading.

The odds right now

• $1,100-23.5 pts (1w)26%
• $1,120-29.0 pts (1w)23%
• $1,140-33.0 pts (1w)20%
• $1,160-34.0 pts (1w)17%
• $1,180-36.5 pts (1w)14%
• $1,200-41.5 pts (1w)11%
• $1,240-41.8 pts (1w)8%
• $1,220-40.5 pts (1w)8%
• $1,260-41.0 pts (1w)7%
• $1,280-45.1 pts (1w)5%
• $1,300-45.3 pts (1w)5%
• $1,320-42.5 pts (1w)4%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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