Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks a simple question: when Qualcomm reports its quarterly earnings on July 29, 2026, will it earn more per share than analysts currently expect? The specific target is $2.23 in non-GAAP EPS, which is a measure of profit per share that strips out certain accounting costs. A Yes means Qualcomm beat that number. A No means it met it exactly or fell short. This settles Yes if Qualcomm officially reports a non-GAAP EPS above $2.23 on or around July 29, 2026. The number comes from Qualcomm's own earnings documents, rounded to the nearest cent. One edge case worth noting: if Qualcomm delays its release by more than 45 days from that date, the market resolves No automatically. Also, any corrections to the number after the fact only count in rare cases of obvious clerical error. No recent news relevant to Qualcomm's earnings was provided. The only headline in the feed is about an unrelated real estate company. To follow this market, the most useful things to watch for would be any Qualcomm business updates, news about chip demand or smartphone sales, or analyst revisions to that $2.23 earnings estimate. The market prices this at 96%, reflecting that large companies like Qualcomm beat analyst estimates more often than not, since analysts tend to set the bar conservatively. At that level, the main uncertainty is not really "will they beat or miss" in a balanced sense. It is more about whether something unexpected disrupts the outcome, such as a sudden drop in chip demand, a trade or supply chain shock, or a guidance miss that drags the reported number below the target.

The odds right now

• Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?+9.5 pts (1w)96%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 29, 2026

As of market creation, Qualcomm is estimated to release earnings on July 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Qualcomm’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.23 as of market creation. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.