Solana above ___ on July 27?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks one simple question: will the price of Solana (SOL) be above $80 at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 27, 2026? A Yes means SOL costs more than $80 at that specific moment. A No means it is at $80 or below. The market currently puts only a 3% chance on Yes, which means participants overwhelmingly expect SOL to be trading above $80 by that date, since $80 would be well below where they expect the price to sit. Settlement depends on one precise data point: the closing price of the SOL/USDT trading pair on Binance during the one-minute window that starts at noon Eastern Time on July 27, 2026. If that single closing price is strictly higher than $80, the market resolves Yes. If it is exactly $80 or lower, it resolves No. Only Binance's own SOL/USDT pair is used, not prices from Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange. One specific minute decides everything. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of developments worth watching would be major shifts in overall crypto market sentiment, significant Solana network news, or broad macroeconomic events that historically move crypto prices sharply up or down. The main uncertainty here is simply whether something unexpected happens. At 3% odds, the market is strongly signaling that Solana trading below $80 on that date would be a surprise, since it would require a very large price drop from current levels. The real risk is a severe crypto market crash, a Solana-specific crisis, or some black-swan event that nobody can fully anticipate more than a year in advance. Crypto markets can move dramatically, and over 12-plus months, a lot can change.

The odds right now

• 30100%
• 40100%
• 50100%
• 60100%
• 70100%
• 802%
• 900%
• 1000%
• 1100%
• 1200%
• 1300%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 27, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.