Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Jul 20 at ___?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking where Tesla's stock price will land at the close of trading on Friday, July 24, 2026. The price buckets are: below $355, between $380 and $385, or between $395 and $400. A "Yes" on any bucket means Tesla's stock closes inside that specific price range on that day. Only one bucket can win, and the winner is whichever range contains the actual closing price. The market settles based on Tesla's official closing price on Friday, July 24, 2026, pulled from a data service called Pyth. Pyth reads the price at the exact final minute of the regular trading session. If that specific data point is missing, the last valid price from that day is used instead. If there is a stock split before then, all price targets adjust automatically to match the new share price scale. One piece of relevant news stands out: as of July 24, 2026, at least one analyst published a downgrade and cut their price target on Tesla following its Q2 earnings report. This kind of analyst action, especially tied to fresh earnings results, can move a stock meaningfully on the same day. It suggests the earnings news was not seen as positive by at least some on Wall Street, which is directly relevant to where the stock closes today. Tesla is one of the most volatile large stocks in the world, and it just reported quarterly earnings. Earnings days can send a stock sharply up or down within hours, sometimes by 10% or more. The analyst downgrade adds pressure, but other investors may read the same results differently. The market currently prices the sub-$355 bucket as most likely at 56%, but with earnings reactions, the final number could fall well outside any of the three listed ranges entirely.

The odds right now

• <$35553%
• $390-$39539%
• $365-$37039%
• $395-$40039%
• $360-$36539%
• $375-$38039%
• $385-$39038%
• $380-$38538%
• $370-$37538%
• $355-$36033%
• >$40010%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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