What will Apple (AAPL) hit in July 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Apple's stock price will touch certain levels at any moment during July 2026. There are three price targets: $336, $344, and $280. For the two higher targets, the question is whether Apple's stock climbs high enough to reach them. For $280, the question is whether it falls low enough to touch that level. Even a single instant at the target price, during normal trading hours, counts as a Yes. Each price target settles independently, based on Apple's minute-by-minute price data throughout July 2026. For $336 and $344, a Yes requires the stock to reach or exceed that price at any point during regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) on any trading day in July. For $280, a Yes requires the stock to touch or go below that price. The data source is a service called Pyth, which tracks prices in one-minute intervals. Pre-market and after-hours prices do not count. If Apple does a stock split, the targets adjust proportionally. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The one headline listed appears unrelated to Apple or its stock price. The kinds of developments worth watching would be Apple earnings reports, major product launches, broader market moves, or any news about tariffs or supply chain issues that affect Apple specifically. The $280 target sits well below current prices, which is why the market prices it at only 3%, reflecting a view that a sharp drop would be needed. The $336 target at 80% suggests the market sees that level as quite reachable, but stock prices can shift quickly on earnings surprises, economic news, or broader market swings. July 2026 is still months away, and a lot can change. The main honest uncertainty for the lower-priced targets is simply whether something unexpected disrupts the stock in either direction.

The odds right now

• ↑ $336-4.8 pts (1w)81%
• ↑ $344-13.3 pts (1w)47%
• ↓ $280-1.0 pts (1w)3%
• ↓ $288-2.7 pts (1w)3%
• ↓ $272-0.1 pts (1w)2%
• ↓ $264-0.5 pts (1w)1%
• ↓ $256-1.1 pts (1w)0%
• ↓ $248-0.9 pts (1w)0%
• ↓ $240-1.9 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during July 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.