What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in July 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether Robinhood's stock price will reach specific high price targets at any moment during July 2026 regular trading hours. There are three separate price targets: $80, $85, and $90. A 'Yes' on any one of them means Robinhood's stock touched or passed that price, even just for a single minute, on any trading day in July 2026. A 'No' means the stock never reached that level during normal market hours that month. Each target resolves Yes if, during any single one-minute window of regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) in July 2026, Robinhood's stock high price touches or exceeds that target. The data source is Pyth, a price-tracking service, using one-minute candles. If Pyth has a technical outage, the official daily high from the exchange is used instead. One important note: the resolution criteria also mention a 'Low' price condition in the same document, which appears to be a copy-paste artifact. The market title and odds structure point to upside price targets, so the High price rule is what matters here. The two news headlines provided are about Malaysian politics and Indian opposition commentary, and neither has any connection to Robinhood or US financial markets. There is no relevant recent news to draw on here. The kind of developments that would matter are Robinhood's earnings results, changes in trading volume on its platform, broader US stock market moves, or any major company announcements. Stock prices are genuinely hard to predict over a month-long window. Robinhood's stock can swing sharply on earnings reports, regulatory news, crypto market moves (since crypto trading is a big part of its business), and overall market sentiment. The market currently prices the $80 target at 23%, $85 at 43%, and $90 at 72%, suggesting traders see the higher targets as less certain but not impossible. With about a week left in July 2026, how much ground the stock has already covered this month is the key unknown we cannot see from here.

The odds right now

• ↓ $90+15.0 pts (1w)70%
• ↓ $85+13.5 pts (1w)45%
• ↓ $80+4.0 pts (1w)24%
• ↓ $75+3.0 pts (1w)13%
• ↑ $120-13.0 pts (1w)5%
• ↓ $70-2.8 pts (1w)3%
• ↑ $130-4.0 pts (1w)3%
• ↑ $125-12.6 pts (1w)3%
• ↓ $65-0.1 pts (1w)2%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during July 2026, any 1-minute candle for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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