White House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how many times will the official White House account post on X (formerly Twitter) during a specific one-week window? A 'Yes' on the top bracket means the account posts 200 or more times in that week, which works out to roughly 28 or more posts per day. Lower brackets cover quieter weeks. It is not about what the White House says, just how often it posts. The final count is taken from a third-party tracking tool at xtracker.polymarket.com, which watches the @WhiteHouse account from August 4 at noon ET through August 11 at noon ET. Only original posts, reposts, and quote-posts count. Replies do not count, unless they appear on the main feed. Deleted posts still count if the tracker caught them within about five minutes. The bracket that matches the final number is the one that resolves as Yes. The provided news headlines are about Democratic polling for a future presidential race and a political dispute involving a House member. None of these directly tell us anything about how actively the @WhiteHouse account is expected to post during this specific week. The most useful thing to watch would be any major news events or policy announcements in that week that might drive high posting volume. The main challenge is that social media posting volume is unpredictable week to week. A slow news week could mean far fewer posts, while a major policy announcement, international event, or political controversy could push the count well above 200. The market currently leans toward the 200-plus bracket at 54%, but roughly half the probability sits elsewhere, which shows real disagreement. Past posting patterns help, but any single unusual week can break the pattern.

The odds right now

• 200+62%
• 180-19935%
• 160-1796%
• 80-991%
• 120-1391%
• 140-1591%
• 60-791%
• 40-590%
• 100-1190%
• <200%
• 20-390%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 11, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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