What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of July 27 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether Amazon's stock price will touch specific price levels during one particular trading week. There are three separate targets: $232, $236, and $240. For each one, the question is simply: will Amazon's share price reach that number at any moment during regular stock market hours the week of July 27, 2026? The higher the target, the harder it is to hit, which is why the odds drop as the price goes up, from 94% at $232 down to 75% at $240. Each price target resolves Yes if Amazon's stock touches or exceeds that level even for a single minute during regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) on any day from July 27 to July 31, 2026. The data source is Pyth, a price-tracking service, using one-minute price candles. Pre-market and after-hours price moves do not count, even if Amazon trades above the target outside those hours. If there is a stock split, the target prices adjust accordingly. None of the provided news headlines relate to Amazon or its stock price. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kinds of developments that would matter are Amazon's own earnings reports, major announcements about its business, or broad shifts in the overall stock market heading into that week. The market prices $232 at 94%, so the main uncertainty at that level is simply whether something unexpected causes a sharp drop. At $240, priced at 75%, there is more genuine two-sided uncertainty: the stock needs to climb meaningfully from wherever it trades heading into that week. Broader market conditions, economic news, and any Amazon-specific events in late July 2026 could all shift things. More than a year away from today, a lot can change that no one can currently foresee.

The odds right now

• ↑ $23294%
• ↑ $23688%
• ↑ $24078%
• ↑ $24461%
• ↓ $22861%
• ↓ $22454%
• ↑ $24848%
• ↓ $22041%
• ↑ $25238%
• ↑ $25628%
• ↓ $21626%
• ↓ $21217%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of July 27 2026, any 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.