What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit Week of July 27 2026?: how this market works
What you need to know
This market is asking whether Coinbase's stock price will touch certain specific levels during the trading week of July 27, 2026. There are three separate targets: will the stock climb as high as $170 (the market says 80% chance), $172.50 (70% chance), or fall as low as $157.50 (65% chance)? Each is an independent yes or no question. You only need the stock to briefly brush that price at any moment during regular trading hours, not stay there. Each target resolves Yes if, at any point during regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) from Monday July 28 to Friday July 31, 2026, even a single one-minute price bar touches the target level. For the upside targets ($170 and $172.50), the bar's high point must reach or exceed the number. For the downside target ($157.50), the bar's low point must reach or go below it. Prices are pulled from a service called Pyth. Pre-market and after-hours trading do not count, even if the stock briefly passes a level outside those hours. None of the provided news headlines relate meaningfully to Coinbase or its stock price. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of developments that would matter include broad crypto market moves, Bitcoin price swings, regulatory news about Coinbase specifically, or major shifts in overall stock market sentiment heading into that week. Stock prices over a multi-week horizon are genuinely hard to pin down, especially for a crypto-linked company like Coinbase, which can swing sharply when Bitcoin or the broader crypto market moves. The range between $157.50 and $172.50 is fairly narrow, so even moderate volatility could touch multiple targets in the same week. The market currently prices all three outcomes as more likely than not, which means the real question is whether something unexpected, like a sudden market shock or company-specific news, disrupts that picture.
The odds right now
- ↓ $157.5074%
- ↑ $17069%
- ↓ $15562%
- ↑ $172.5057%
- ↓ $152.5056%
- ↑ $17549%
- ↓ $15046%
- ↓ $147.5040%
- ↓ $14534%
- ↓ $142.5028%
Price history
↓ $157.50
How this resolves
Resolves July 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of July 27 2026, any 1-minute candle for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.
Related
Other outcomes in this market
- ↓ $157.5074%
- ↑ $17069%
- ↓ $15562%
- ↑ $172.5057%
- ↓ $152.5056%
- ↑ $17549%
- ↓ $15046%
- ↓ $147.5040%
- See all 10 outcomes →
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