What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of July 27 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Microsoft's stock price will touch certain levels during the trading week of July 27, 2026. There are three price targets: $382.50, $390 (both 'ceiling' targets the stock needs to reach or exceed), and $375 (a 'floor' target the stock needs to fall to or below). Each target is a separate Yes or No question: did the stock ever touch that number during regular trading hours that week? Each price target resolves Yes if Microsoft's stock hits that level at any moment during regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) from Monday July 28 to Friday August 1, 2026. The check uses one-minute price intervals from a data service called Pyth. For the two upper targets ($382.50 and $390), the stock's high in any one-minute window must reach or exceed the target. For the $375 target, the stock's low in any one-minute window must fall to or below $375. Pre-market and after-hours prices do not count. None of the provided news headlines are directly relevant to Microsoft's stock price or business performance that week. The one headline mentioning Microsoft is about open-source software competition, which is background context rather than a market-moving development. No earnings reports, major product announcements, or analyst updates for Microsoft appear in the provided news, so there is no specific recent news to point to here. The market currently prices the $382.50 target at 99%, meaning participants see it as nearly certain, while $390 sits at 85% and $375 (the downside target) at 69%. At these odds, the main uncertainty is not really a debate between two equal sides. For the top targets, the question is simply whether something unexpected disrupts a stock that the market expects to be trading well above $382. For the $375 floor, the market implies a roughly one-in-three chance the stock dips that low, reflecting genuine two-way uncertainty about weekly volatility.

The odds right now

• ↑ $382.5099%
• ↑ $39090%
• ↓ $37569%
• ↑ $397.5067%
• ↓ $367.5053%
• ↑ $40553%
• ↓ $36035%
• ↑ $412.5032%
• ↑ $42022%
• ↓ $352.5020%
• ↑ $427.5020%
• ↓ $34517%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of July 27 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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