What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of July 27 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether NVIDIA's stock price will touch certain price levels during the trading week of July 27, 2026. There are three upside targets ($208, $212) and one downside target ($204). For the upside targets, a Yes means the stock's price briefly reached that level or higher at any moment during the week. For the downside target ($204), a Yes means the stock briefly dipped to that level or lower. Each price is its own separate question, and even a single moment at that price counts. Each target resolves Yes if, during any single one-minute window between 9:30 AM and 4:00 PM Eastern Time, Monday through Friday that week, NVIDIA's price touches the target. The data source is a platform called Pyth, which records detailed minute-by-minute price data. Pre-market and after-hours trading do not count, even if NVIDIA moves sharply outside regular hours. If a stock split happens, the target prices adjust automatically. If Pyth has a technical outage, the official daily high or low from the exchange is used instead. Fresh news from July 27, 2026, reports that NVIDIA is in talks to help guarantee $250 billion in financing for an OpenAI data center, which is a very large and positive headline for the company. NVIDIA is also expanding its AI software platform with new tools. These kinds of major business announcements can move a stock meaningfully on the day they drop, which makes them directly relevant to whether NVIDIA reaches these price targets this week. The main challenge is that stock prices can move fast and unpredictably, even within a single week. The market currently prices the $208 target at 95%, meaning participants see it as very likely but not certain. The $212 target sits at 80%, and the $204 downside target at 63%, reflecting real uncertainty about the range of movement. A surprise earnings report, a shift in AI sentiment, or a broader market swing could push the price in either direction. One week is a short window, but a lot can happen.

The odds right now

• ↑ $20895%
• ↑ $21277%
• ↓ $20464%
• ↑ $21649%
• ↓ $20046%
• ↑ $22025%
• ↓ $19625%
• ↑ $22416%
• ↓ $19216%
• ↑ $22810%
• ↓ $1888%
• ↓ $1846%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of July 27 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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