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Zelenskyy # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?: how this market works

35%politicsUpdated 1 min ago

What you need to know

This market is asking how many times Zelenskyy posts on X (formerly Twitter) during a specific seven-day window next August. It is not asking about what he says, just the raw count of posts. The possible outcomes are ranges: 60-79 posts, 80-99 posts, or 120-139 posts, among others. A Yes for any given range means his post count lands inside that range. Think of it like guessing how many times someone sends a message in a week. At the end of the window, August 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM Eastern Time, an automated tracker counts every post Zelenskyy made on his main feed since August 4 at noon. Regular posts, reposts, and quote posts all count. Replies do not count, unless they appear on his main feed. Deleted posts still count if the tracker caught them within about five minutes. Whatever range that final count falls into is the one that resolves as Yes. All other ranges resolve No. The news provided does not relate to Zelenskyy or his social media activity. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development that would matter is anything affecting Zelenskyy's public communication schedule, such as a major diplomatic event, a ceasefire negotiation, or a period of reduced visibility during a military situation. Zelenskyy's posting pace depends heavily on what is happening in the war and in diplomacy at any given moment. A week of intense international negotiations might produce far more posts than a quieter week. The market is spread across ranges like 60-79 and 80-99 at similar odds, which signals that even people watching this closely find the weekly count hard to pin down. The biggest unknown is simply what the geopolitical environment will look like in August 2026, more than a year from now.

The odds right now

  • 60-7935%
  • 80-9934%
  • 120-13911%
  • 100-1199%
  • 160-1798%
  • 180-1998%
  • 200+8%
  • 40-597%
  • 140-1595%
  • 20-392%
  • <200%

Price history

60-79

35%-7.0%

How this resolves

Resolves August 11, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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