Zelenskyy # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is simply counting how many times Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy posts on X (formerly Twitter) during one specific week. The three outcome ranges are 60 to 79 posts, 80 to 99 posts, or 100 to 119 posts. The market is asking: is he a relatively lighter poster that week, a heavier one, or very active? It is purely about volume, not content. A tracking tool at xtracker.polymarket.com counts every qualifying post Zelenskyy makes between July 28 and August 4, 2026 at noon Eastern Time on each day. Original posts, quote posts, and reposts all count. Replies do not count, unless they appear on his main feed. One important edge case: even deleted posts count, as long as the tracker captured them within about five minutes of posting. Whichever range that final count falls into wins. Recent news shows major Russian attacks on Kyiv and Zaporizhzhia in early August 2026, killing and wounding civilians, with reports that Ukraine has run out of Patriot air defense missiles. Events like these tend to drive more public communication from Zelenskyy, as he frequently uses X to address attacks, rally international support, and update the public. That context is directly relevant to how active he might be on the platform this week. Zelenskyy's posting volume in any given week depends heavily on what is happening. Intense events like the recent attacks could push his count higher, but diplomatic meetings, travel, or platform outages could suppress it. The market already prices the 60 to 79 range as most likely at 73%, so the main uncertainty is whether an unusually active week pushes the count into the 80 to 99 range. A jump to 100 or more is priced as quite unlikely at just 2%, meaning the real question is mostly whether this week lands in the top or middle tier.

The odds right now

• 60-79+41.5 pts (1w)77%
• 80-99-17.5 pts (1w)18%
• 120-139-4.3 pts (1w)0%
• 100-119-17.2 pts (1w)0%
• 140-159-4.3 pts (1w)0%
• 160-179-4.0 pts (1w)0%
• 180-199-0.4 pts (1w)0%
• 200+-2.3 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 4, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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