Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament Election: Party Winner: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks which political party will win the most seats in the regional parliament of Chukotka, a remote Russian territory on the Arctic coast near Alaska, in its scheduled September 2026 election. A Yes for United Russia means Russia's dominant ruling party takes the most seats, as it does in virtually every Russian regional election. A win for CPRF, the Communist Party, would mean a rare upset in a region where United Russia has long held firm control. The market settles on whichever party holds the most seats after all votes are counted on September 20, 2026. Seats from both direct constituency races and proportional representation lists are counted together. If results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the market resolves as 'Other', not as any named party. One edge case worth knowing: if there is a tie in seats, the tiebreaker goes to proportional representation votes, and then alphabetical order if still tied. None of the provided news headlines relate to this election or to Chukotka politics. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development that would matter is any change in Russian election law, unusual candidate registration disputes, or credible reports of organized opposition activity in the region. The market is priced at 98% for United Russia, so this is not a close call in the eyes of participants. United Russia dominates Russian regional elections consistently, and Chukotka is a small, remote region with no history of meaningful political competition at this level. The real uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected and unusual happens, not whether there is a genuine two-sided race. The tiny 1% for CPRF reflects that possibility existing, not that it is a realistic contest.

The odds right now

• United Russia98%
• CPRF1%
• LDPR0%
• A Just Russia0%
• New People0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 20, 2026

Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Chukotka Autonomous Okrug as a result of this election. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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