Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 23?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the afternoon high temperature be in Buenos Aires on July 23, 2026? July is winter in Buenos Aires, so the highs are cool, not hot. The market is offering a few specific temperature buckets, and you are essentially asking which one the thermometer will hit at its peak that day. A "Yes" on 13°C means the day's warmest reading lands at exactly 13 degrees Celsius, not 14, not 12. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Ezeiza Airport (the main international airport outside Buenos Aires) on July 23, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. The temperature is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. The result is locked in once the first reading from July 24 appears on that site, so last-minute corrections made before that cutoff count, but any changes after it do not. No recent news relevant to Buenos Aires weather on July 23, 2026 was provided. The kind of development that would matter here is a short-range weather forecast for the Buenos Aires area in the days just before July 23, such as an approaching cold front or an unusually warm winter air mass moving into the region. Weather is genuinely hard to forecast more than a few days out, and this market closes over a year from now. Even on the day itself, a single cold front passing through or a clear sunny afternoon can shift the high by several degrees. Buenos Aires winter highs vary meaningfully, and the three leading options are all close together, meaning a small atmospheric shift pushes the outcome from one bucket to the next. The far-out date is the biggest source of uncertainty here.

The odds right now

• 13°C37%
• 14°C34%
• 15°C14%
• 12°C7%
• 16°C6%
• 11°C2%
• 10°C1%
• 17°C1%
• 9°C or below0%
• 18°C0%
• 19°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 23, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.