Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 23?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Jeddah get on July 23, 2026, at its peak? Jeddah is one of the hottest cities in the world, sitting on the Red Sea coast in Saudi Arabia, and late July is deep in its peak summer heat. The three possible outcomes are a peak of 37°C (about 99°F), exactly 38°C (about 100°F), or 39°C and above (102°F or hotter). You are essentially picking which temperature bucket the single hottest reading of the day falls into. After July 23, 2026 ends, whoever runs this market will look up the highest temperature recorded that day at King Abdulaziz International Airport in Jeddah, using the weather site Wunderground. The temperature is read in whole degrees Celsius, so no decimals, just a clean number like 38°C or 40°C. Whichever bracket that number falls into wins. One important detail: if Wunderground revises the reading slightly after the fact, that revision only counts if it happens before the first data point for July 24 is published. No specific recent news was provided for this market. For a weather market like this, what would matter most is any seasonal forecast for Saudi Arabia in summer 2026, or any unusual climate pattern such as a heat wave or cooler-than-normal conditions expected in the region around that date. Those kinds of meteorological updates would be worth watching as July 2026 approaches. Predicting a single day's peak temperature more than a year in advance is genuinely difficult, even for meteorologists. The market currently sits close to a coin flip between 39°C-or-above and the lower brackets combined, which reflects real spread in historical Jeddah July temperatures. Day-to-day variation from humidity, sea breeze, and local conditions can easily shift a reading by a degree or two. A one-degree difference is all it takes to jump between buckets, so even a very good forecast close to the date could easily be off by the margin that matters.

The odds right now

• 39°C or higher46%
• 38°C36%
• 37°C14%
• 36°C6%
• 35°C2%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 29°C or below0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 23, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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