Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 23?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Los Angeles get on July 23, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of the day at LAX airport, and which two-degree range that reading falls into. A Yes on '80-81°F' means the peak temperature that day lands somewhere between 80 and 81 degrees Fahrenheit, roughly a warm but not scorching summer day near the coast. The market settles based on the highest temperature logged at the Los Angeles International Airport weather station on July 23, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whoever runs this market will check that page after midnight on July 24, once the first data point for the new day appears. The temperature is recorded in whole degrees only, so 80.7°F would count as 80°F. Any last-minute data corrections before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. No recent news relevant to this market was provided. The only headline in the feed is unrelated to weather. What would actually matter here is a forecast from the National Weather Service for the Los Angeles area around July 23, or any news about an incoming heat wave or unusual marine layer expected that week. July in Los Angeles near the coast is famously tricky. The area sits right where the Pacific marine layer and inland heat compete daily, and the actual peak temperature on any given summer day can swing several degrees depending on which wins out. LAX specifically tends to run cooler than inland parts of LA. The three ranges shown span only six degrees total, so even a small shift in conditions moves the result from one bucket to another. Weather this far out is genuinely hard to pin down with precision.

The odds right now

• 80-81°F37%
• 82-83°F31%
• 78-79°F12%
• 84-85°F10%
• 86-87°F2%
• 76-77°F1%
• 74-75°F0%
• 88-89°F0%
• 71°F or below0%
• 72-73°F0%
• 90°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 23, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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