Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of July 20 above___?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks a simple question: will Microsoft's stock price close above a specific dollar threshold on Friday, July 24, 2026? There are three separate thresholds here, $350, $330, and $340, each its own yes-or-no question. A 'Yes' means the stock finished the week above that number. A 'No' means it closed at or below it. Think of it like asking whether a thermometer reads higher than a certain mark at the end of the day. The market settles based on Microsoft's official closing price on Friday, July 24, 2026, pulled from a data service called Pyth. If the stock closes even one cent above the listed price, it resolves Yes. If it closes exactly at the price or below, it resolves No. The exact number used comes from the final minute of the regular trading session. If the market is closed that day for any reason, the market resolves 50-50, which is an unusual edge case worth knowing about. The only Microsoft-related headline in the provided news is about the company responding to a software issue involving LG monitors and unwanted apps. That is a minor product story with no clear connection to Microsoft's stock price for this week. No earnings announcements, major partnerships, or market-moving news were provided. The kind of news that would matter here would be quarterly earnings results, big product launches, or broad market shifts. At 98% odds, all three thresholds are priced as near-certainties by the market, meaning participants collectively believe Microsoft is very unlikely to fall below $350, $340, or $330 by Friday. The honest uncertainty here is not a two-sided debate. It is simply whether something unexpected happens: a sudden market crash, a major company-specific shock, or a dramatic overnight event. Those things are rare but real. The market is not calling this impossible, just very improbable.

The odds right now

• $38094%
• $37092%
• $34068%
• $33051%
• $35051%
• $36051%
• $41050%
• $44050%
• $42039%
• $43035%
• $45028%
• $4005%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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