Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of July 20 above___?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether Palantir's stock price will close above a specific dollar threshold ($126, $127, or $128, depending on which version you're looking at) at the end of the trading week of July 20, 2025. A Yes means the stock finishes that Friday above the target price. A No means it closes at or below it. Think of it as a simple question: where does Palantir's share price land when the market closes on that Friday? The market settles based on Palantir's official closing price on Friday, July 24, 2026, pulled from a data service called Pyth. If the closing price is strictly higher than the listed threshold, it resolves Yes. If it is equal to or lower than the threshold, it resolves No. The price is taken from the final minute of the regular trading session, with no rounding applied. If Palantir does not trade at all that day, the market splits 50-50 instead of resolving Yes or No. The only recent news provided is about political developments in Bangladesh, which has no clear connection to Palantir's stock price. There is no relevant news to point to here. The kinds of developments that would matter for this market include Palantir earnings reports, major government contract announcements, broader technology sector moves, or significant shifts in overall stock market sentiment. Stock prices over a multi-month horizon are genuinely hard to predict. The market currently prices these thresholds at only 3 to 6%, meaning participants see it as unlikely but not impossible that Palantir trades that high by late July 2026. The main uncertainty is not a close debate between two equal sides: it reflects where Palantir's price actually sits today versus those targets. Between now and July 2026, earnings results, AI spending trends, government contracts, and broader market swings could all move the stock substantially in either direction.

The odds right now

• $12750%
• $12650%
• $12849%
• $12930%
• $13623%
• $13520%
• $13715%
• $1302%
• $1332%
• $1342%
• $1382%
• $1312%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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