Salzgitter Mayoral Election Winner: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks who will win the mayoral election in Salzgitter, a city in Lower Saxony, Germany, and become its next Oberbürgermeister, which means the top elected official of the city. A "Yes" for any candidate means that person wins the election and takes the office. The three named candidates are Frank Klingebiel, Holger Dahms, and Patricia Mair, and the market assigns each of them a separate probability based on how likely participants think each one is to win. The market settles on whichever candidate officially becomes mayor after the September 13, 2026 election. If no candidate gets more than half the votes that day, a runoff between the top two candidates happens on September 27, 2026, and the runoff winner decides the outcome. The result comes from credible news reporting, confirmed by official city sources if needed. One important edge case: anyone appointed as a temporary or acting mayor before the election does not count. If no result is confirmed by April 30, 2027, the market settles as "Other." None of the provided news headlines relate to the Salzgitter mayoral election. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development worth watching for would be candidate announcements, local polling in Salzgitter, party endorsements, or any news about the current mayor's status leading into the 2026 campaign. The main uncertainty is that the election is still over a year away, which is a long time for circumstances to change. Candidate lineups could shift, local issues could reshape voter priorities, and a runoff scenario adds another layer where the first-round result does not end things. The market currently prices Klingebiel as the front-runner at 56%, but the combined odds of his opponents exceed his share, reflecting a genuine three-way race where no outcome is close to certain.

The odds right now

• Frank Klingebiel75%
• Tobias Bey14%
• Patricia Mair9%
• Holger Dahms4%
• Lars Tietjen3%
• Ercan Kilic1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 13, 2026

The next Salzgitter mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Salzgitter, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Salzgitter). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.