Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of July 20 above___?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether SpaceX stock (ticker: SPCX) will close above a specific price on Friday, July 24, 2026. There are actually three separate price targets here: $100, $95, and $105. Each one is its own Yes/No question. For example, 'above $100' means Yes if the stock closes at $100.01 or higher, and No if it closes at exactly $100 or below. The market is essentially a snapshot of where traders expect the stock price to land by the end of that trading week. The market settles based on SpaceX's official closing price on Friday, July 24, 2026, using data from a service called Pyth, which tracks stock prices in real time. The closing price is taken from the last minute of the regular trading session. If the price lands exactly on the target, that counts as No. If the stock does not trade at all that day, the market splits 50-50 between Yes and No. If a stock split happens before then, the target price is adjusted proportionally so the comparison still makes sense. One headline from July 24 is directly relevant: a report notes that Alphabet, a major tech company, is both a large SpaceX investor and a customer spending roughly $920 million per month with SpaceX. This kind of news can matter to a stock's price because it highlights the financial relationship between SpaceX and a key partner. The other two headlines are unrelated to SpaceX or its stock price. The three price targets tell a clear story about where the market currently stands. At 98%, the market is highly confident the stock closes above $95. At 51%, it sees the $105 target as essentially a coin toss. That middle ground around $100 to $105 is where the real uncertainty lives. Stock prices can shift meaningfully in a single week due to news, broader market moves, or changes in investor sentiment, and SpaceX is a private company whose shares trade less freely than typical public stocks, which can make prices less predictable.

The odds right now

• $10052%
• $9551%
• $10550%
• $11050%
• $12050%
• $12550%
• $11550%
• $14050%
• $14550%
• $15050%
• $15549%
• $13049%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.