What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit in July 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Coinbase's stock price will climb high enough to touch specific price levels at any moment during July 2026. There are three separate price targets: $135, $140, and $145. A Yes on any one of them means COIN's stock briefly reached or crossed that level during regular trading hours in July 2026, even for just one minute. A No means the stock never got that high during the entire month. Each price target resolves Yes if, at any single minute during regular market hours in July 2026 (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET, weekdays), Coinbase's stock touches or exceeds that target price. The data source is a platform called Pyth, which tracks minute-by-minute price highs. Pre-market and after-hours price spikes do not count. If Coinbase does a stock split, the target prices are adjusted proportionally. If Pyth has a technical outage, the official daily high from the exchange is used instead. None of the provided news headlines relate meaningfully to Coinbase or its stock price in July 2026. There are no relevant recent developments to point to here. The kinds of news that would matter include: broader crypto market moves, regulatory decisions affecting Coinbase, Bitcoin price swings, or any major company announcements from Coinbase itself. Coinbase's stock is closely tied to the price of Bitcoin and broader crypto sentiment, both of which can shift dramatically and quickly. The market currently prices the $145 target at 45%, $140 at 31%, and $135 at 19%, suggesting participants see the lower targets as harder to reach, which is somewhat counterintuitive and worth noting. Because only one brief moment during the whole month is needed to resolve Yes, even a short rally would be enough, but predicting short-term crypto-driven swings over a multi-week window is genuinely difficult.

The odds right now

• ↓ $145-12.0 pts (1w)45%
• ↓ $140-17.0 pts (1w)31%
• ↓ $135-15.0 pts (1w)19%
• ↑ $185-6.0 pts (1w)15%
• ↓ $130-13.8 pts (1w)12%
• ↓ $125-10.7 pts (1w)8%
• ↓ $120-9.4 pts (1w)2%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during July 2026, any 1-minute candle for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.