Wolfsburg Mayoral Election Winner: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks who will win the next mayoral election in Wolfsburg, Germany, and become the city's top official, called the Oberbürgermeister. A Yes for any candidate means that person wins the election and takes office as mayor. Wolfsburg is a mid-sized German city closely associated with Volkswagen. The race currently has three named candidates, with Dennis Weilmann as the strong favorite at 75%, followed by Karsten Schneider at 14% and Thomas Schlick at 11%. The market settles on whichever candidate officially becomes mayor after the September 13, 2026 election. If no candidate gets more than half of all valid votes that day, a runoff happens on September 27, 2026, and the runoff winner is what counts. The result comes from credible news reporting, with the official Wolfsburg city election office as the final authority if anything is disputed. One important edge case: if the result is somehow still unknown after April 30, 2027, the market resolves as 'Other', not as any named candidate. None of the provided news headlines relate to Wolfsburg, its candidates, or German local politics. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development worth watching for would be local polling, candidate announcements, party endorsements in Wolfsburg, or any significant event affecting the city or its main employer, Volkswagen. The market is heavily one-sided, with Weilmann priced at 75%, so the main uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected happens before or during the election. Real sources of uncertainty include: whether the first round produces a clear majority or forces a runoff, how local issues in Wolfsburg shift voter sentiment over the coming year, and whether additional candidates enter the race. German local elections can also see lower turnout and surprise results. But at 75%, the market is not treating this as a close contest.

The odds right now

• Dennis Weilmann-1.5 pts (1w)75%
• Karsten Schneider-3.5 pts (1w)14%
• Thomas Schlick+1.5 pts (1w)7%
• Andreas Klaffehn5%
• Jens Hortmeyer-1.0 pts (1w)3%
• Marco Meiners-3.3 pts (1w)1%
• Timothy Luca Petersen-1.8 pts (1w)1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 13, 2026

The next Wolfsburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Wolfsburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Wolfsburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.