Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: What It Means & How It Resolves

What you need to know

This market asks how large Ventuals' crypto token will be, measured by total value, one day after it launches. FDV, or Fully Diluted Valuation, is a way to measure the implied total worth of a token: you take the price of one token and multiply it by every token that will ever exist. So a $500M FDV means the whole token supply, at launch-day prices, adds up to $500 million. Each version of this market picks a different size threshold, and Yes means the token hits or beats that number. The market settles as Yes if Ventuals' token price, multiplied by its total supply, exceeds the listed dollar amount at exactly 4:00 PM ET on the day after the token launches publicly. The token must be freely tradable by real people for the launch to count. The price used will come from the most liquid trading source at that moment. There is one important catch: if Ventuals never launches a token before December 31, 2026, every version of this market automatically resolves No. No recent news about Ventuals was provided for this market. The most important things to watch for would be any official announcement from Ventuals about a token launch date, details about total token supply, or early price discovery on any trading platforms. Several large unknowns stack on top of each other here. First, Ventuals may never launch a token at all, which would make every threshold resolve No automatically. Second, even if a token launches, early crypto prices are extremely volatile and hard to predict: a token can surge or collapse within hours of launch. Third, the FDV depends on total supply, which is set by the project, not the market. All three of these thresholds are priced at 2 to 3%, meaning the market sees all outcomes as quite unlikely right now.

The odds right now

$500M+0.4 pts (1w)3%
$1.5B+0.1 pts (1w)2%
$300M-1.9 pts (1w)2%
$100M-1.9 pts (1w)2%
$1B-0.8 pts (1w)1%
$800M-1.0 pts (1w)1%
$2B-0.5 pts (1w)1%

Price history

$500M

3%-1.1%

How this resolves

Resolves January 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

$500M3%
$1.5B2%
$300M2%
$100M2%
$1B1%
$800M1%
$2B1%

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